The population of the Republic of Moldova at the horizon of 2040

This analytical report was prepared at the request of the Government of the Republic of Moldova, under Government Decision No. 284/2024, to address rapid demographic changes through evidence-based policies to anticipate future demands for resources and social services. The population projection is intended for use by central and local authorities in planning and effectively implementing public policies, ensuring the management of demographic and economic changes and the efficient allocation of resources for the sustainable development of local communities. The national-level population projections is prepared annually by the National Institute for Economic Research (Centre for Demographic Research) of the Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova under the auspices of the Ministry of Labour and Social Protection of the Republic of Moldova.

The publication is part of the Demographic Resilience Programme and was produced within the project “Strengthening Governance Based on Reliable and Disaggregated Demographic Data for Central and Local Authorities,” funded by the Swiss Cooperation Office in the Republic of Moldova, co-financed and implemented by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). All conclusions and recommendations belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect their position.